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Thought Leaders
In the real world, this would be their only shot. They would have to live with their decisions, good or bad, like the all-too-many executives involved in M&As that don't live up to their potential. But this is a simulation, so managers in this case have a chance to change history. After seeing the results of their original decision, they go back and do it again. This experience, and a debriefing with faculty afterwards, allows them to appreciate the complexities of acquisitions and the strategies that can lead to success. "The reason for the simulation is to get the participants to understand that there are many facets of an M&A process that normally are treated as independent, but all these things are interdependent," said Holthausen. "They realize the integration decisions that lead to higher value or lower returns." The Power of Simulations Advances in computing power have allowed educators, to create simulations that are faster, more complex, interactive and realistic. "The technology allows us to do things now that were very cumbersome to do before," Holthausen said. "We can create something that is more lifelike and bring a more realistic element to market simulations."
A survey of Wharton MBA students who participated in simulations and other computer-based learning tools developed by Wharton's Alfred West Learning Laboratory found that 86 percent of respondents felt the experience enhanced, or significantly enhanced, learning in class. The students found that the interactive tools were more effective than case-based classes in enhancing attention and engagement. Learning About the Business Simulation developer Bruce Gresh, who created the M&A simulation with Holthausen, said simulations for senior executives often are not designed for a simple solution. Instead, they "serve more as a catalyst for discussion," he said. The surprises are where much of the learning occurs. "The simulation has intended consequences and unintended consequences," Gresh said. "That is a pretty powerful feature." In a sophisticated simulation, the participants receive "high-fidelity" financial statements at the end of each round that look very much like the numbers they use to make their real business decisions. The open-ended complexity of the picture is part of what makes the simulations so realistic. "There are a lot of environments where executives struggle to integrate tons of information," said Gresh. "There is no mechanism to integrate all that without a simulation, but this is the stuff they are actually considering in their decision making. Simulations help make them aware of what the organization is facing in the business environment, often order-of-magnitude changes in the business environment." Simulations can also be used to test the assumptions of participants. During one simulation for a group of CEOs, Gresh asked participants for their own perspectives on the relationships among certain qualitative factors such as wage levels and employee satisfaction. He put these assumptions into the simulation, and the executives played it out. By the end of the simulation, it was clear that they had made "ridiculous assumptions." For example, very small increases in wages sent employee satisfaction through the roof and led to outrageous performance results. Learning About the Team Seeing the business impact of decisions is just part of the learning from simulations. They can also offer deep insights into team dynamics. "At least half the learning is about team dynamics," Gresh said. "A lot of it is having them think about how they function in teams and how hostile competitive conditions can influence decision making." For example,
Gresh recalled a team of CEOs in one simulation
who "made
a goofy pricing decision." In the debriefing,
it turned out that the very persuasive team member
who served as head of marketing had talked
the other members into a strategy of cutting
costs way back, against their better judgment. "These
were senior executives, but they went along anyway
because he had a strong personality and talked
them
into it." The Need for Transparency To keep the exercise from becoming a game, participants need to understand the underlying assumptions of the simulation model up front. This allows them to know why they won or lost. "It has to be transparent," Gresh said. "I'm a big believer in having the decision output that tells them what effect the decisions they made had on the outcome. Sharing the conceptual foundation of the model helps them understand and get into the simulation, and not compartmentalize it as a game." Doesn't knowing the structure and assumptions behind the simulation allow participants to "game" it? Maybe for a simple exercise, but not for these simulations. Detailed knowledge in advance of how the simulation is constructed is not a particular advantage once it starts. It is management skill and thinking that count. "The dynamics are so complex," Gresh said. "I design and build the simulations, and the teams of senior executives who participate in them always get better results than I do."
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